Research

The state of the News Media 2012

By Amy Mitchell  and Tom Rosenstiel of PEJ

In 2011, most sectors of the news media managed to stop the audience losses they suffered a year earlier, though for some the gain was minimal. News websites saw the greatest growth, while print audiences stood out for their continued decline, which nearly matched the previous year’s 5% drop.



Source: Nielsen Media Research, the Audit Bureau of Circulation and Arbitron

Digital: No matter the device, digital news consumption continued upward in 2011. Monthly unique audience to the top news sites was up 17%, a similar increase from 2009 to 2010, according to Nielsen Online. Seventeen of those 25 continue to be legacy news outlets.

Americans are now fully into the digital era. More than three-quarters of U.S. adults own a laptop or desktop computer. On top of that, 44% now own a smartphone, and tablet ownership is now at 18%, up from just 11% in the summer of 2011. News is a significant part of how people use these devices. Some 51% of smartphone owners use that device to get news, as do 56% of tablet owners. And nearly a quarter of the population, 23%, now gets news on multiple digital devices, according to PEJ research

Network TV News: All television news viewership increased in 2011, but it was most evident on the networks, whose audiences grew for the first time in a decade. Average evening news viewership across the three networks increased 4.5%, or 972,700 viewers over 2011, according to PEJ analysis of Nielsen Media Research data. An average of 22.5 million people watched ABC, CBS or NBC News each night in 2011. In the morning, an average of 13.1 million people tuned in each day over the year, 5.4% more than in 2010. The PBS NewsHour’s average viewership was nearly unchanged, remaining at 1.1 million viewers nightly during the 2010-11 season.

Local TV News: After years of decline, local television news showed new signs of life in 2011. Viewership increased in both the morning (1.4%) and late evening (3%)—the first gains in five years.  The audience for very early morning news more than quadrupled, but most of that came in time periods that have the smallest total viewership, including 4:30 a.m.   And while local stations remain the No. 1 news source for most Americans, the same does not apply to their websites. A PEJ survey found that 10 times as many people turned to TV newscasts for breaking news and weather as relied on local stations’ websites.

Cable News: A year of major news events, including international disaster and unrest as well as domestic politics, helped break the cable news ratings slide. Total viewership rose 1% in 2011, according to Nielsen Media Research. That was the same growth rate encountered during the daytime hours and in prime time, when a median of 3.3 million people watched cable news at any given time on a typical night.

The boost behind that overall growth came at CNN, which was up 16% in prime time to a median of 654,000 viewers. And MSNBC was up 20% during the daytime. Fox News Channel was the only one of the three main news channels to experience a second straight year of declines. It ended 2011 down 3% in prime time and 2% in daytime. Fox remained the clear leader over all, though, with a median prime time audience of 1.9 million, making 2011 its 10th straight year of ratings dominance.

Audio: More than nine out of 10 Americans (93%) say they use or own an AM/FM radio, and the device is second only to television as the medium most prevalent in people’s lives, according to Arbitron’s data. But digital options are beginning to have an impact, especially in the mobile realms. Nearly 40% of people are estimated to listen to online-only audio services like Pandora or Spotify on their smartphones, mobile devices and computers, according to eMarketer—a number expected to double by 2015. Even more worrisome for AM/FM radio, in-car listening via smartphones nearly doubled in the last year to 11% of people who own cellphones. And carmakers are installing new models with internet-ready listening.

News/talk radio’s popularity increased and probably will continue to do so over the next year, thanks in part to the 2012 presidential campaign. At the same time, NPR saw its total listenership drop for the first time in years, but the organization is making headway in developing digital platforms to reach new audiences.

Magazines: Circulation for six leading news magazines studied here was basically flat (down 0.05%), after an 8.9% decline in 2010. The largest portion of circulation, subscriptions, was also flat, with a growth rate of 0.01%, but that number is controlled, based on how much magazines want to spend to “buy” readers. Newsstand sales, a smaller component but not controlled by the industry, dropped 2%. That decline is also much smaller than the 2010 losses of 17.7%. Newsweek saw the greatest declines (3.4%) while The Economist and The Week both grew about 2%. Circulation for the magazine industry as a whole dropped 1%, compared to a 1.5% loss in 2010.

Newspapers: Of all media sectors, newspapers suffered the most in 2011. While new measurements made exact yearly comparisons difficult, chapter co-author Rick Edmonds estimates that weekday circulation fell about 4% and Sundays fell 1% for the six-month period ending September 30. Those declines were about on par with 2010, but only about half what they were in 2009. Newspapers’ digital audiences are growing. Newspaper websites are popular and total audience reach is staying steady.

Economics

The year 2011 was a mixed one economically for the news media. Ad dollars followed the audiences to the web, and a stable business model helped cable television. But much of the legacy media suffered revenue declines.



Local TV News: Local TV stations make the vast majority of their revenue from on-air advertising. This revenue declined in 2011, largely due to a predictable decrease in political ads in a non-election year. The estimated on-air ad revenue total of $18.1 billion, however, was 10% less than what local stations got in 2007, the last non-election year before the recession hit. Other sources of revenue continue to grow including fees paid by cable and satellite systems and online and mobile advertising, but those sources together only make up an estimated 15% of local stations’ total revenue.

Newspapers: Apart from local TV, whose ad sale trends are tied to the ebb and flow of political cycles, newspapers fared worse than other media sectors economically in 2011. In 2011, print advertising revenues were down approximately $2.1 billion, or 9.2%. Although online advertising was up approximately $207 million (6.8%) compared with 2010, those gains do not come close to making up for the losses in print. Losses in print outweighed the gains online by a ratio of roughly 10 to1 combined, online and print ad revenues were down 7.3% in 2011 to $23.9 billion. Most newspapers are still profitable on an operating basis, the net margins—after interest, taxes and special charges—are razor-thin. And most papers achieved profitability largely through cutting. The year also brought with it more papers embracing the idea of a pay wall. The New York Times and roughly 150 other newspapers have instituted variations on the so-called metered model that The New York Times uses.

Digital: Online advertising over all shot up 23% in 2011 compared to 2010. While search continues to grow and will remain the largest kind of online advertising for the foreseeable future, display ad revenue is growing as well. Display ads generated $12.4 billion in 2011, up 24% from the year before, according to eMarketer. Much of the growth in display advertising came from banner ads, the largest segment of ads within display, which grew 22% in 2011.  But this isn’t all good for news.  Five of the big tech companies now account for about half of all display ad revenue, with Facebook one of the big news players. These same companies account for 68% of all online advertising.

In the mobile realm, the ad landscape shifted in 2011. Text message advertising had been the largest type of mobile ad, but in 2011, eMarketer research finds that search now dominates the mobile ad space. News companies are essentially cut off from this growing revenue stream, which amounted to $653 million, or 45% of the mobile ad market. But a silver lining for the industry may exist in research showing that mobile banner and rich media advertising, the most important types for news, accounts for 31% of the mobile ad market, now also ahead of text ads, according to eMarketer.

Magazines: For print magazines, the number of ad pages sold across the industry over all was down in 2011 (3.1%), after a flat 2010 (down 0.1%) and a steep decline in 2009 (25.6%), according to data by the Publishers Information Bureau. Of the 213 magazines the PIB tracked, 136 reported a decline in the number of ad pages sold. This drop in ad pages resulted from losses in major ad categories. Car ads, one of the largest single categories, fell 5.7%, after having risen 16.9% in 2010. Ad pages by food and food products makers plummeted in 2011 (17%, on top of a 3.5% loss the previous year), showing the steepest decline among all advertising categories. News magazines fared worse with a decrease in ad pages of 5.6%. That drop offset the slight gain of 1.4% news magazines had in 2010.

Even though ad pages, which have been the industry’s key economic indicator, were down in 2011, some digital initiatives taken by magazines started paying off. In October 2011, The Atlantic’s digital ad revenues exceeded print ad revenues, 51% to 49%, for the first time ever. Jay Lauf, The Atlantic’s publisher, estimates that the publication will bring in a total of $18.6 million from advertising for the 2011.

Audio: Radio revenue saw gains in 2011, but lost much of the momentum seen in the previous year. Over all, revenue was up 1% over 2010 levels, at $17.4 billion, according to data from the Radio Advertising Bureau. Much of the revenue came from traditional radio, but that sector declined in the last year and is expected to see negligible growth in coming years. National and local spot revenue shrank 1% in 2011. The real growth in radio revenue happened on digital platforms, with 15% growth in online and mobile. But these areas hold much smaller pieces of radio’s total revenue picture and are expected to continue to trail AM/FM at least through 2014.

Network TV News: Networks over all saw a decrease in total revenue in 2011. The market research firm Veronis Suhler Stevenson, which looks at networks over all, not just news divisions, estimated that network ad revenue decreased 3.7% in 2011. But network news programs had their best ratings in a decade in 2011, and both ABC and CBS News benefited from broadcast ad revenue increases, while NBC News derived income from its cable news channels. As a result, PEJ estimates that the three network news divisions each saw revenue growth between 1% and 2.5%. While NBC’s prime-time non-news ratings slumped, its Nightly News and Today Show still beat out the network competition in viewership.

Cable News: The revenue declines of 2009 may, in the end, look more and more like a bump in the road for cable news, which benefits from the stability of a business model that draws revenue from subscribers and advertisers. In 2011, revenues for the three main news channels were projected to increase 8% to $3.3 billion, according to SNL Kagan. CNN and its sibling channel, HLN, were projected to grow 7% to $1.3 billion; for Fox it was 9% growth to $1.6 billion, and for MSNBC, projections were for an 8% gain to $409 million.

While the growth rates for cable ad revenue (9%) and subscriber revenue (8%) were similar, in total dollars, subscriber revenue made up a larger share of the pie at $1.8 billion (compared with ad revenue of $1.4 billion). Not long ago these shares were equal, and subscription fee revenues are expected to continue to grow.

News Investment

Digital: In 2011, media companies devoted new resources to online video content.  One partnership has ABC News providing video content for Yahoo News sites. Reuters became one of the leading news organizations to develop original content for YouTube and will eventually host 10 original news shows on the video-sharing site. And The Huffington Post announced the creation of its own 24-hour online news channel, following a model more akin to CNN.

Other efforts in online newsgathering met some hurdles to success. In early 2011, AOL chief executive Tim Armstrong set the tone for the hyperlocal news site Patch by announcing that there would be 1,000 “patches” across the country and that by year-end individual patches would become profitable. By the end of 2011 those goals were in question and Armstrong dialed back expectations of profitability, saying, “We don’t have a massive number of patches on a run-rate profitability, and some of them have bounced in and bounced out.”

Cable News: Cable channels were projected to spend more on the news in 2011, increasing their budgets by 5% to $1.7 billion, according to SNL Kagan. All of the channels were projected to spend more than they had the year before. For the second year in a row, Fox was projected to lead in total spending at $732 million. CNN and HLN were projected to spend $698 million and MSNBC which draws on NBC News for resources and newsgathering, was projected to spend $223 million. Though it was no longer the spending leader, CNN made use of 46 domestic and foreign bureaus in 2011, more than Fox (17) and MSNBC (20) combined, according to information provided by the channels.

Local TV News: Stations continued to hire in 2011 and analysts believe total employment in local TV news has returned to the record level set before the recession. The median staff size of stations in the largest markets grew 21% between 2005 and 2010, while small-market newsrooms have not grown. The makeup of the staffs has changed: Large-market newsrooms ramped up their use of solo journalists, with more than 15% of the largest saying they mostly rely on “one-man bands.”

Stations in general produced more news in 2011 and shared it more widely. The number of stations offering very early morning news, beginning at 4:30 a.m., doubled from 2010 to 2011. The average amount of weekday local TV news programming hit five hours and 18 minutes in 2010, the last year for which data exist, and is expected to set another record in 2011

Magazines: New magazine launches were also on the rise. In all, 239 new magazines were launched in 2011, according to MediaFinder.com, up from 193 magazines in 2010.  Only 152 magazines folded during the year, a sharp improvement over the 176 that shut down in 2011 and the 596 that died the year before. After four years of shedding significant numbers of jobs, employment at U.S. magazines fell only 1.7% in 2011 (compared to a decrease of 5.8% in 2010 and 12.3% in 2009), according to Ad Age’s analysis of recent Bureau of Labor Statistics data.

Network News: There were numerous staffing changes at the networks in 2011. All three evening news programs had new executive producers by the end of the year. And there were new anchors for several news programs. At NBC, Meredith Vieira left the Today Show and Ann Curry replaced her. NBC also introduced a new news magazine, Rock Center With Brian Williams. CBS News, which got a new chairman and president in 2011, completely revamped its morning show, renaming it CBS This Morning. The show is hosted by Charlie Rose, Gayle King and Erica Hill. ABC News also got a new president in 2011, and the network announced that George Stephanopoulos would once again host This Week, after Christiane Amanpour’s tenure was not as successful as the network hoped.

Newspapers: Newsrooms continued to shrink as companies, to remain in the black, felt the need for more rounds of cost reductions. The contemporary newsroom has fewer articles to produce after trims in the physical size of paper and reduction of the space devoted to news. But the remaining editors and reporters are also being stretched further by the need to generate content suitable for smartphones and tablets as well as establishing a social media presence. This is all in addition to putting out the print paper daily and feeding breaking news to websites. In company management, the shift to outsiders with backgrounds in digital, especially at major companies, was striking. The CEOs of Gannett (Craig Dubow) and the industry’s largest private company, Media News (William Dean Singleton), stepped aside for health reasons. New York Times chief executive Janet Robinson retired under pressure late in the year. Associated Press president and chief executive Tom Curley announced early in 2012 that he would be retiring, too. During the course of the year, the top editor’s job turned over at The New York Times, USA Today, The Los Angeles Times and a host of metros.

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About Zoran Opalic

Around the World: 1997. NY, USA - Design Workshop at the New York School of Visual Arts // 2003. Hamburg, Germany - Mario Garcia Studio - media design,future of print media.// 2004. Innsbruck, Austria - News Desk, News Desk work shop// 2007. NY, USA - Future of Media and New Technology, New York // 2007. Miami, USA - "React to the news in the short term - in the newsroom work flow". More info: January 1st, 2008: madeIN magazine. Occupation or position held: Publisher/Owner Name and address of employer: Dobro Slovo Brace Domany 8, 10000 Zagreb (Croatia) Type of business or sector Publishing (Magazine) Web January 1st, 2001 - December 31st, 2007 Vecernji list daily. Occupation or position held: Art Director Type of business or sector Publishing, Daily Newspaper. Early Years: I have worked on a different creative media projects — Jutarnji list daily (at the time - 1998. new daily newspapers in Croatia), Globus, Studio, HAK, Nova Vjencanja, Auto Plus...

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